This asteroid is now known to miss. It was always classified as NO HAZARD so it was no surprise at all when they proved it couldn’t hit.
UPDATE - they proved it would miss in July through non detection.
On July 4th and 5th they focused on the small patch of sky where it would have to be if approaching Earth. It wasn't there, so can't hit. It is the first example of ruling out an impact through non deteciton.
ESA and ESO confirm asteroid will miss Earth in September | EarthSky.org
UPDATE: It was removed from the database on 2019-08-11 23:49:11. This means it is known that it can’t hit Earth on any occasion in the next century.See: Search for object
NASA and ESA never issued any warning for this asteroid because it is harmless. What’s more, ALL THOSE NASA ASTEROID WARNING STORIES ARE FAKE NEWS.
A real asteroid warning would be on the main TV news and you’d be told what to do to say safe, just as for a hurricane warning.
I will say this forcefully because I get sent PM’S every day by people who are terrified by these stories. They need to know that they are ALL LIES.
The sensationalist press are just lying when they do stories like this:
This is their LUDICROUSLY STUPID story about it:
There was no ESA shock warning. That is just made up by a journalist. And the scary impact video on their page is utter coswallop and ridiculous nonsense.
It is not just bloggers that go on the internet and tell lies. So do some journalists.
Click to watch on YouTubeYou may think it is respectable because you see this story in Google news.
Google news doesn’t have any journalists. The stories there are not checked. No human in google looks at these stories to see if they are fake news. It is just a dumb algorithm.
This is a shorter version of my longer article, mainly in pictures, to help young children and panicked people who often find it hard to think clearly.
The ESA table looks scary if you aren’t used to numbers. But replace numbers by words and you get:
It is fourth on that list. But the fourth “No hazard asteroid” is still no hazard. It’s like the “fourth most concerning hamster” the most a hamster can do is give you a bit of a nip, and even the most concerning hamster in the world is not something to be concerned about and the fourth most concerning hamster in the world is no big deal at all.
This asteroid is not expected to hit.
We do expect a small asteroid some day in the next century or two.
Of the next 100 asteroids, then by the area of Earth’s surface for oceans, deserts etc, then over approximately the next 10,000 years we can expect:
Forests: 9
Crops:3
Ice sheets or tundra:6
Oceans:71
Grassland: 7
Urban or semi-urban:1
Deserts: 4
(assuming asteroids every century, if they are every 50 years then this is the next 5,000 years)
So by far the most likely is a harmless splosh in the ocean and astronomy geeks and enthusiasts hire a jet to view it from the air.
Depending on how much it breaks up in the atmosphere it might not even be much of a splosh. This is what the Chelyabinsk impactor did - formed a small hole in ice.
NO TSUNAMI. Just water that splashes up and out around the impact zone itself, no more than ripples at any distance. There just isn’t the energy needed for a tsunami.
We have huge telescopes to look for asteroids. This enormous telescope will be looking for this one in July:
Subaru telescope, Hawaii. There the blue rectangle outlines a human height door.
If it is on an impact course, we spot it in July or early August.
It is expected to miss.
This probably won’t happen for thousands of years.
Asteroid warnings are like hurricane warnings. Before a hurricane you get a map like this:
Wind track hurricane Irma 2017
In the same way, any asteroid we are tracking will have an accurate map like this ten days before impact.
This is a fictional impact on New York city. It is NOT A REAL ASTEROID. Everyone in the red, orange and yellow zones of New York would probably be evacuated.
We can evacuate a city for a hurricane easily in two days.
It is good that we are looking out for these asteroids. But such asteroids are really rare.
For longer version see:
SEE ALSO
- Why you don’t need to be scared of asteroids - far less scary than lightning by Robert Walker on Debunking Doomsday
- My answer to How vulnerable are we to a catastrophic asteroid impact? Are there people whose job is to watch for them?
- What is the probability of the Earth being hit devastatingly by a large comet or asteroid?
- Some of the telescopes looking out for asteroids every single day
SEVEN TIPS FOR DEALING WITH DOOMSDAY FEARS
If you are scared: Seven tips for dealing with doomsday fears which also talks about health professionals and how they can help.
If in the middle of a panic attack, see
- Breathe in and out slowly and deeply to calm a panic attack by Robert Walker on Debunking Doomsday
- Tips from CBT - might help some of you to deal with doomsday anxieties
- STOPP skill
USEFUL LINKS TO BOOKMARK
- Search Doomsday Debunked (Facebook)
- Search Debunking Doomsday
- List of debunks
- Search Quora for articles by 'robert walker' (insert whoever you want to search for)
- Search Sites rated Very High for Factual
- Search Doomsday Debunked Wiki
Tip, bookmark those links to search for debunks more easily. Here is a screenshot of my bookmarks
FACEBOOK SUPPORT GROUP
Facebook group Doomsday Debunked has been set up to help anyone who is scared by these fake doomsdays.
IF YOU NEED HELP
Do message me on Quora or PM me on Facebook if you need help.
There are many others in the group who are available to support scared people via PM and who can also debunk fake Doomsday “news” for you if you get scared of a story and are not sure if it is true. See our debunkers list
If you are suicidal don’t forget there’s always help a phone call away with the List of suicide crisis lines - Wikipedia
OUR PETITIONS
- To Google, Apple and Facebook - please stop promoting fake red top tabloid news
- To Journalists: Debunk Rather than Dramatize "Doomsday" Stories - Vulnerable Get Suicidal
- To YouTube : Halt Ads on Doomsday Videos
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